tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1438 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1438 · IAH → SJD

departs 12:22 PM CT · arrives 2:20 PM MST
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Arrive at SJD more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SJD?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.