tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1538 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1538 · SEA → EWR

departs 11:13 PM PT · arrives 7:42 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 7.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    62%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.