Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1578SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1578 · SFO → SBA
departs 11:01 AM PT · arrives 12:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±5 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SBA?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.