tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1628 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1628 · MBJ → EWR

departs 1:19 PM EST · arrives 5:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
78% chance · ±15 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    21%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    29%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    14%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    24%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.