Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1696 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12

UA 1696 · FLL → IAH

departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 6:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±9 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

IAH (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1696 · FLL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?