Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1844SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1844 · MSY → EWR
departs 11:31 AM CT · arrives 3:31 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±2 pts−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.