tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 187 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

UA 187 · JNB → EWR

departs 9:54 PM SAST · arrives 6:29 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±5 pts −7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.