UA 1960 · SFO → RDU

departs 2:27 PM PT · arrives 10:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±9 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1960 · SFO → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?