UA 2137 · RSW → EWR

departs 5:41 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

85% chance · ±9 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
36%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,133 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

EWR (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,133 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.76 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2137 · RSW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?