Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2289 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

UA 2289 · EWR → AUS

departs 3:10 PM ET · arrives 6:11 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±7 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.63 in

AUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2289 · EWR → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?