UA 2290 · ORD → DFW

departs 1:36 PM CT · arrives 4:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±9 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

DFW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2290 · ORD → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?