tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2396 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2396 · EWR → MCO

departs 1:09 PM ET · arrives 3:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±3 pts −8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.5d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.