Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2607 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

UA 2607 · IAD → CMH

departs 5:20 PM ET · arrives 6:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±3 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from IAD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at CMH that day

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.05 in

CMH (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2607 · IAD → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?