Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 334 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

UA 334 · IAH → LGA

departs 4:15 PM CT · arrives 8:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

77% chance · ±17 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
23%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
39%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 334 · IAH → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?