Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 860 DEPARTURE NOT REPORTED YET (THE FAA SEES FLIGHTS FROM ABROAD ONCE THEY NEAR US AIRSPACE)
Yesterday

UA 860 · GRU → IAD

departs 10:19 PM -03 · arrives 5:59 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.