UA 956 · EWR → GVA

departs 5:47 PM ET · arrives 7:38 AM CET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at GVA more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±7 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GVA?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,133 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 5pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GVA

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,133 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.76 in

GVA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 956 · EWR → GVA

Odds over time

How late will it get to GVA?