VB 679 · SAT → MTY

departs 7:41 PM CT · arrives 9:00 PM CST

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MTY?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 7pm departures from SAT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MTY

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MTY (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 679 · SAT → MTY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MTY?