Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1029
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 1029 · BWI → IND
departs 4:18 PM ET · arrives 6:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Tue 11/10 15%
Wed 11/11 16%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 32%
Sat 11/14 36%
Sun 11/15 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↑
4pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.