Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1071
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 1071 · BWI → MDW
departs 2:55 PM ET · arrives 4:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 31%
Sat 11/14 21%
Sun 11/15 32%
Mon 11/16 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at MDW that day
↑
BWI is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,333 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.05 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.