Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 123 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow

WN 123 · SAT → DAL

departs 2:17 PM CT · arrives 3:33 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from SAT are often late

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 123 · SAT → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?