Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1270
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 1270 · CMH → RSW
departs 1:41 PM ET · arrives 4:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 24%
Sun 11/15 26%
Mon 11/16 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into RSW at that hour are often late
↑
RSW is prone to delays
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.17 in
RSW (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.