Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1353
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 1353 · BUF → MDW
departs 3:56 PM ET · arrives 4:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 28%
Sat 11/14 32%
Sun 11/15 37%
Mon 11/16 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at MDW that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BUF that day
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.42 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.