Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1450
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 1450 · DAL → LGA
departs 12:39 PM CT · arrives 5:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 55%
Sat 11/14 27%
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±15 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
56%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at LGA that day
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.