Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1542
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 1542 · BOS → DAL
departs 5:51 PM ET · arrives 8:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 56%
Sat 11/14 27%
Sun 11/15 46%
Mon 11/16 46%
Tue 11/17 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±7 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.10 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.