Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1652
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 1652 · SFO → DEN
departs 1:42 PM PT · arrives 5:13 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 62%
Sat 11/14 43%
Sun 11/15 44%
Mon 11/16 48%
Tue 11/17 53%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±13 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.