Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1766
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 1766 · DEN → PVD
departs 12:00 PM MT · arrives 5:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 29%
Sun 11/15 30%
Mon 11/16 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PVD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PVD?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PVD that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
PVD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PVD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.