Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2122
SCHEDULED
Thursday, November 12 Today
WN 2122 · HOU → MCI
departs 3:05 PM CT · arrives 5:09 PM CT
Your aircraft is N8556Z (B738), coming in as WN 1948 from FLL: in the air, landing about 3:09 PM CT, 9 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 11/13 22%
Sun 11/15 23%
Mon 11/16 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
99%
chance · ±0 pts
+75 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
99%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
58%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 75 min after the scheduled departure, about 64 min late from the gate after a typical 11-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 99%.
+75 pts
99%
Yes 99%
No <1%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 75 min after the scheduled departure, about 64 min late from the gate after a typical 11-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 99%.
+56 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 75 min after the scheduled departure, about 64 min late from the gate after a typical 11-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 39%.
+34 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
1%
15–30 min late
78%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.