Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 219
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 219 · CUN → MDW
departs 2:06 PM EST · arrives 4:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 11/11 26%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 22%
Sat 11/14 24%
Sun 11/15 22%
Mon 11/16 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave CUN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at MDW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CUN (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.