Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2203
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 2203 · IND → SRQ
departs 3:26 PM ET · arrives 5:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 26%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.