Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 237
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 237 · PWM → BWI
departs 1:37 PM ET · arrives 3:28 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 27%
Sat 11/14 17%
Sun 11/15 22%
Mon 11/16 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave PWM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
PWM is prone to delays
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PWM (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,067 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.