Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2952
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 2952 · MDW → LAX
departs 4:44 PM CT · arrives 6:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 56%
Sun 11/15 44%
Mon 11/16 42%
Tue 11/17 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±11 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.