Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3050
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 3050 · ATL → DAL
departs 5:13 PM ET · arrives 6:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Wed 11/11 19%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 30%
Sun 11/15 36%
Mon 11/16 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±7 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.