Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 330
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 330 · SBA → SAN
departs 11:01 AM PT · arrives 12:09 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 20%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
11am departures from SBA are usually not late
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SBA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.