Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3340
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 3340 · BNA → MHT
departs 12:07 PM CT · arrives 3:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 14%
Sun 11/15 12%
Mon 11/16 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MHT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MHT?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at MHT that day
↓
MHT usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 4,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MHT (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.