Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3388
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 3388 · SFO → SAN
departs 12:26 PM PT · arrives 2:05 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Wed 11/11 25%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 56%
Sun 11/15 40%
Mon 11/16 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±9 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.