WN 3546 · LGA → DEN

departs 8:02 PM ET · arrives 10:03 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

78% chance · ±13 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
31%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,133 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ 8pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,167 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.71 in

DEN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3546 · LGA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?