Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3659
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 3659 · RSW → BWI
departs 2:59 PM ET · arrives 5:37 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 23%
Sun 11/15 30%
Mon 11/16 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
2pm departures from RSW are often late
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.