Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 4098 · SRQ → BNA
departs 3:16 PM ET · arrives 4:17 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 22%
Sun 11/15 32%
Mon 11/16 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.