Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4479
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 4479 · CLE → MCO
departs 3:31 PM ET · arrives 6:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 33%
Sat 11/14 29%
Sun 11/15 33%
Mon 11/16 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLE that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.39 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.