Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4479
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 4479 · MDW → CLE
departs 12:49 PM CT · arrives 3:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 17%
Sun 11/15 25%
Mon 11/16 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLE that day
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at MDW that day
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.