Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4962
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12 Tomorrow
WN 4962 · STL → HOU
departs 1:57 PM CT · arrives 4:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 15%
Sun 11/15 27%
Mon 11/16 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at HOU that day
Weather at each end
STL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.