Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 532
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 532 · BNA → CLE
departs 2:27 PM CT · arrives 5:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Wed 11/11 24%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 24%
Sat 11/14 27%
Sun 11/15 26%
Mon 11/16 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLE that day
↑
2pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.