Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Nov 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 582
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, November 12
WN 582 · LAS → SLC
departs 12:28 PM PT · arrives 2:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Wed 11/11 19%
Thu 11/12
Fri 11/13 36%
Sun 11/15 35%
Mon 11/16 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 29% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.