WN 679 · BNA → PHL

departs 3:00 PM CT · arrives 6:12 PM ET

Your aircraft is N9037S (B38M), coming in as WN 2585 from DTW: in the air, landing about 2:09 PM CT, 44 min before departure.

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ BNA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6.33333 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 679 · BNA → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?