WN 794 · DEN → CVG

departs 12:27 PM MT · arrives 5:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,833 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 794 · DEN → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?