YX 5665 · RIC → BOS

departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 7:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5665 · RIC → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?