YX 5673 · LGA → SYR

departs 10:16 AM ET · arrives 11:35 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SYR?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SYR that day

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.56 in

SYR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5673 · LGA → SYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to SYR?