YX 5778 · LGA → GSO

took off 1:49 PM ET · landed 3:26 PM ET (scheduled 12:06 PM ET → 1:58 PM ET)

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GSO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

GSO (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5778 · LGA → GSO

Odds over time

How late did it get to GSO?