Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1874 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, November 13 Today

9K 1874 · LEB → BOS

departs 10:48 AM ET · arrives 11:29 AM ET

Your aircraft is P212 (P212), coming in as KAP86 from BOS: still at BOS, due off about 8:55 AM ET, 66 min before departure.

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ 10am departures from LEB are usually not late

Weather at each end

LEB (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1874 · LEB → BOS

Odds over time