Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 3001 LANDED 10:38 AM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, November 13 Today

9K 3001 · MVY → BOS

took off 10:06 AM ET · landed 10:38 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MVY that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MVY (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 3001 · MVY → BOS

Odds over time